The Hansen et al. article
presents a neat slice of data on climate change science, nicely illustrating its connection to
extreme weather events such as heat waves, droughts, and flooding. This article
helped clarify the reasons why I’ve always been more inclined to use the term
“climate change” than “global warming” when discussing this phenomenon. To many
people the idea of a slightly warmer planet might not sound that scary; when
that phenomenon is linked to a radically changing climate, however, there seems
to be a renewed sense of urgency.
Unfortunately, I remain
pessimistic that even framing climate change around extreme weather events will
do much to shift public opinion about global warming until the earth’s
temperature has spiraled out of control. This past summer I worked on climate
change policy at a think tank in Washington DC, which, I must admit, left me
feeling pretty jaded. By coincidence, my internship happened to coincide with
the worst drought and heat wave to strike the US in fifty years. As a result, Congress
held a few hearings on climate change science, which I got to attend. During
the Senate hearings, a slew of witnesses called by Democrats presented research very similar to what was covered in Hansen et al. In response, the
notorious James Inhofe of Oklahoma took the stage to display a picture of his
extended family clustered around an igloo they had built in front of the
capital building two years ago during the massive “Snowmageddon” storm that struck DC.
At the top of the igloo they had planted a crude sign that read “Al Gore’s
Home.” Now, I thought this was an almost hilarious display of ignorance, but
Inhofe had made his point; sometimes it’s really hot, and sometimes it’s really
cold and stormy. To my dismay, several people in the room nodded their head in
agreement.
Later that summer, I
attended an info session hosted by Congressional Republicans on potential
agricultural policy responses to the drought (which was most devastating to
Republican stronghold states in the middle of the county). Again, nobody wanted
to talk about climate change, the obvious elephant in the room, which they
dismissed as a non-factor. If this summer’s weather was not enough to make
people take notice, what will it take, and will it come before we've burned up all of our fossil fuels anyway?
Another major obstacle to
climate change science is the issue of big business. Given that businesses
operate on a schedule of quarterly profits, and rarely think beyond a time
frame of thirty years in advance, how can they be compelled to take global
warming seriously in their decision-making process? But even worse, as Beck
accurately points out, “Modernization risks from the winner’s point of view are
big business. They are the insatiable demands long sought by the economists” In
other words, the risks of global warming and chemical pollution are good for
business as a whole because they create new demands. How can we stop this cycle of perverse incentives?
Finally, I greatly enjoyed Beck’s
discussion of the interaction of ethics and science that happens during risk
evaluations. What degree of risk is “acceptable,” is of course an entirely
subjective evaluation, but it’s fascinating/disturbing to me to watch
scientists and economists try to use cost-benefit analyses and other approaches
to reach a determination.
On a similar note, if anybody wants to be really depressed about the state of chemical regulation in the United States, I would highly recommend the series of investigative articles published by the Chicago Tribune about flame-retardants in the United States. Great journalism. Did you know that you need a doctor’s prescription in the US to buy a mattress without flame retardant chemicals? Yup. Apparently "science" says that the risk of your mattress going up in flames outweighs the increased risk of cancer you get by spending roughly a third of your life sleeping on a mattress laden with carcinogenic chemicals. Sleep well on that tonight. Here’s the link: http://media.apps.chicagotribune.com/flames/index.html
On a similar note, if anybody wants to be really depressed about the state of chemical regulation in the United States, I would highly recommend the series of investigative articles published by the Chicago Tribune about flame-retardants in the United States. Great journalism. Did you know that you need a doctor’s prescription in the US to buy a mattress without flame retardant chemicals? Yup. Apparently "science" says that the risk of your mattress going up in flames outweighs the increased risk of cancer you get by spending roughly a third of your life sleeping on a mattress laden with carcinogenic chemicals. Sleep well on that tonight. Here’s the link: http://media.apps.chicagotribune.com/flames/index.html
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